https://serfdomalley.com/videos/watch/4f0d808a-a1fb-4670-8880-cabad134a793 Become a member to submit questions for future videos. Click Join: https://www.youtube.com/@johnmearsheimer/join ———————————————————— PODCASTS Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0Ahf67i2DOoXDmi2HA6Vcj Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id6810828298 ———————————————————— DESCRIPTION Delegations from Russia, Ukraine, and the United States are now meeting in Abu Dhabi in hopes of reaching an agreement on the all-important issue of security guarantees, which would represent a major step toward ending the Ukraine war. These negotiations are almost certain to fail, however, mainly because it is virtually impossible to devise a formula for security guarantees that satisfies both Russia and Ukraine. Moreover, the Europeans, who have been excluded from the negotiations at Russia’s insistence, are important players who will side with Ukraine against Russia. ———————————————————— CHAPTERS 0:00 Intro 0:32 The Abu Dhabi Negotiations 1:08 Previous Talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva 2:02 Trump's Optimism vs. Ukraine's Pessimism 2:53 Why These Talks Will Fail 4:14 The Real Issue: Security Guarantees 5:10 No Ceasefire on the Table 6:13 What Ukraine Wants 7:20 What Russia Wants 8:37 Who's at the Table 9:00 Why Europe Is Left Out 12:20 Problem 1: The U.S. Is Not a Mediator 14:44 Problem 2: The Europeans 16:49 Indivisible Security 18:39 The Security Dilemma 21:38 Applying It to Ukraine and Russia 23:28 Russia Demands a Veto 24:25 You Cannot Square This Circle 26:10 The War Will Be Settled on the Battlefield 26:43 A Frozen Conflict 28:07 Conclusion ———————————————————— MUSIC "The Ice Giants" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Music modified (edited/remixed) from the original. Fri, 13 Nov 2026 17:22:21 GMT https://validator.w3.org/feed/docs/rss2.html PeerTube - https://serfdomalley.com https://serfdomalley.com/client/assets/images/icons/icon-512x512.png https://serfdomalley.com/videos/watch/4f0d808a-a1fb-4670-8880-cabad134a793 All rights reserved, unless otherwise specified in the terms specified at https://serfdomalley.com/about and potential licenses granted by each content's rightholder.